Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.618505 0.807661 1.022359 1.280798 1.580199 1.913068 2.308020
2025-02-23 0.353236 0.580274 0.875114 1.270606 1.772257 2.373436 3.134261
2025-03-02 0.189160 0.408077 0.737545 1.228694 1.904008 2.765098 3.911024
2025-03-09 0.117337 0.332135 0.701977 1.303032 2.181419 3.352089 4.964287
2025-03-16 0.062160 0.249884 0.628080 1.300978 2.344804 3.794502 5.853455
2025-03-23 0.039056 0.216873 0.624616 1.400829 2.656465 4.449547 7.048248
2025-03-30 0.021996 0.181983 0.604710 1.465906 2.915852 5.040367 8.176295
2025-04-06 0.010383 0.146544 0.569745 1.495191 3.116485 5.551738 9.209067
2025-04-13 0.003074 0.106836 0.506737 1.458377 3.202188 5.893623 10.011463
2025-04-20 0.000716 0.083515 0.473839 1.471533 3.366847 6.354688 10.991372
2025-04-27 0.000056 0.065167 0.445061 1.486090 3.531130 6.817458 11.982374
2025-05-04 NaN 0.044475 0.393217 1.438824 3.579206 7.098621 12.712998
2025-05-11 NaN 0.028226 0.342838 1.385701 3.615080 7.367896 13.445005
2025-05-18 NaN 0.019674 0.317422 1.387616 3.752613 7.803977 14.437101
2025-05-25 NaN 0.011616 0.280251 1.349546 3.808418 8.107629 15.236362
2025-06-01 NaN 0.009956 0.286416 1.432174 4.107072 8.819888 16.671182
2025-06-08 NaN 0.006213 0.265423 1.431774 4.237442 9.254774 17.689417
2025-06-15 NaN 0.005807 0.279489 1.539204 4.593918 10.078236 19.319962
2025-06-22 NaN 0.004644 0.281426 1.609052 4.875153 10.780328 20.773419
2025-06-29 NaN 0.003097 0.271876 1.640507 5.076871 11.351304 22.031950
2025-07-06 NaN 0.001320 0.243017 1.601436 5.125081 11.659017 22.883697
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000649 0.230654 1.615523 5.287621 12.166951 24.056312
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000270 0.219504 1.631065 5.452946 12.681983 25.245913